Monday, 21 July 2014

BILL ADONGO




LIFE TIME:
BILL ADONGO(1983-present) is the greatest Actuary and Economist of all time. He is known by his Central Point Law and Point Values Interval Law which has great influence in economics and many areas of studies. Below is one of his applications in his diary.


BILL ADONGO INCOME ELASTICITY AND BUDGET THEORY
Consider that consumer has an income equal to M that spent on the good X and Y. If we represent Px and Py to be the prices of two goods X and Y respectively: The income increased by ∆M and the price of the two goods increased by ∆Qx and ∆Qy, at budget constraint equation
∆M=Px∆Qx + Py∆Qy:  there is independent prediction of the prices Px and Py which is given as;

Pxi=∆M/2∆Qxi

Pyi=∆M/2∆Qyi

[Pxi, Pyi]=[(∆M/2∆Qxi, ∆M/2∆Qxi+∆M/2∆Qxi, ...);(∆M/2∆Qyi, M/2∆Qyi - ∆M/2∆Qyi, ..)]

Let us, also considered that income elasticity of demand equation Kxexi + Kyeyi=1 where Kx denote proportion of income spent on good Y, exi for good X, and eyi for income elasticity of demand for good Y. Then, there is independent forecasting of exi and eyi. This is defined as:

exi=1/2kxi

eyi=1/2kyi

Kyi=1-Kxi

(exi, eyi)=[(1/2kxi, 1/2kxi + 1/2kxi,…..); (1/2kyi, 1/2kyi - 1/2kyi,…..)]


EXAMPLE:
a)      Given two commodities, rice and milk. If the rice accounts for 75%, what would be the income elasticity of rice and milk?
b)      Predict the independent correspondence of income elasticity exi and eyi.

ex1=1/2(0.75)=2/3

ey1=1/2(0.25)=2

(exi, eyi) = [(2/3,  2/3 +2/3,  2/3 +2/3+2/3, ….); (2,  2-2,  2-2-2, ….)]

(exi, eyi) = [(2/3,  4/3,  2,  …); (2,  0,  -2,  ….)]



PROOF!
Kxexi + Kyeyi=1 …………(*)

075exi + 025eyi=1

From the solution above;

ex1=2/3 when ey1=2

Substituting the value ex1=2/3 and ey1=2 into they equation (*)

075(2/3) + 025(2)=1
  
1/2 +1/2 = 1

2/2=1

1=1

From the solution above;

ex2=4/3 when ey2=0

Substituting, ex2=4/3 and ey2=0 in equation (*)

075(4/3) + 025(0)=1

1 + 0 = 1

1=1

From the solution above:

ex3=2 when ey3=-2

Substitution; ex3=2 and ey3=-2 in equation (*)

075(2) + 025(-2) =1

3/2-1/2 = 1

(3-1)/2 = 1

2/2=1

1=1


NOTE:
Those who said my works are not original, to proof them wrong: there is no where in economics, we can predict the value of income elasticity exi and eyi for goods X and Y respectively without assume value for exi or  eyi.  There is no any other Law in Economics that is value than the Central Point Law and Point Values Interval Law.